House of Representatives Generic Ballot (February 2018)

House of Representatives Generic Ballot (February 2018)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"

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categoryTotal
Democratic candidate40%
Republican candidate43%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion17%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Democratic candidate85%12%3%
Republican candidate2%29%86%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion12%59%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Democratic candidate81%72%95%
Republican candidate2%3%2%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion17%26%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Democratic candidate5%4%2%
Republican candidate77%79%95%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion18%17%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Democratic candidate84%47%12%
Republican candidate6%20%76%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion11%33%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Democratic candidate73%85%88%
Republican candidate10%4%5%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion17%10%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Democratic candidate21%10%8%
Republican candidate54%78%88%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion25%12%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Democratic candidate92%5%7%
Republican candidate2%90%80%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%5%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Democratic candidate30%69%48%
Republican candidate57%11%27%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion13%20%25%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Democratic candidate38%43%
Republican candidate50%37%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion12%21%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Democratic candidate50%39%27%
Republican candidate29%48%55%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion21%14%18%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Democratic candidate44%38%41%40%
Republican candidate38%35%42%55%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion18%27%17%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Democratic candidate67%37%41%32%42%43%
Republican candidate17%43%42%47%46%41%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion16%20%17%21%12%17%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Democratic candidate30%38%47%69%
Republican candidate54%42%32%21%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion17%19%21%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 election for the Representative in the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Democratic candidate29%32%71%
Republican candidate53%51%19%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion18%17%10%

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