Likelihood to Change 2022 Land Commissioner Vote (October 2022)
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| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Don't know | 12% |
| Not at all likely | 64% |
| Not very likely | 17% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% |
| Very likely | 3% |
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| Category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 14% | 20% | 8% |
| Not at all likely | 64% | 49% | 67% |
| Not very likely | 14% | 19% | 21% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 9% | 3% |
| Very likely | 3% | 3% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 20% | 16% | 11% |
| Not at all likely | 52% | 54% | 73% |
| Not very likely | 25% | 8% | 11% |
| Somewhat likely | 2% | 17% | 3% |
| Very likely | 1% | 6% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 10% | 14% | 6% |
| Not at all likely | 54% | 52% | 76% |
| Not very likely | 29% | 29% | 16% |
| Somewhat likely | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Very likely | 0% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 10% | 18% | 10% |
| Not at all likely | 71% | 48% | 66% |
| Not very likely | 15% | 20% | 18% |
| Somewhat likely | 3% | 7% | 4% |
| Very likely | 1% | 8% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 7% | 15% | 7% |
| Not at all likely | 70% | 68% | 75% |
| Not very likely | 17% | 13% | 15% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Very likely | 1% | 1% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 10% | 12% | 8% |
| Not at all likely | 44% | 64% | 79% |
| Not very likely | 30% | 19% | 10% |
| Somewhat likely | 14% | 4% | 1% |
| Very likely | 2% | 1% | 2% |
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| Category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 10% | 20% | 13% |
| Not at all likely | 64% | 65% | 62% |
| Not very likely | 19% | 8% | 15% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Very likely | 3% | 4% | 3% |
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| Category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 10% | 13% |
| Not at all likely | 66% | 62% |
| Not very likely | 18% | 16% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 5% |
| Very likely | 2% | 4% |
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| Category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 11% | 10% | 17% |
| Not at all likely | 61% | 67% | 61% |
| Not very likely | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Very likely | 7% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 15% | 16% | 10% | 9% |
| Not at all likely | 49% | 58% | 68% | 70% |
| Not very likely | 21% | 17% | 17% | 15% |
| Somewhat likely | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| Very likely | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
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| Category | No HS | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 31% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 8% |
| Not at all likely | 54% | 59% | 65% | 62% | 68% | 65% |
| Not very likely | 2% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 19% |
| Somewhat likely | 12% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Very likely | 0% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
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| Category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 13% | 11% | 6% | 15% |
| Not at all likely | 67% | 54% | 70% | 65% |
| Not very likely | 13% | 26% | 18% | 16% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Very likely | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. | Don't know. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 12% | 13% | 10% | 18% |
| Not at all likely | 62% | 63% | 66% | 70% |
| Not very likely | 15% | 18% | 19% | 8% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Very likely | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
