2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Mitt Romney (October 2011)

2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Mitt Romney (October 2011)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.
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categorycolumn-1
Mitt Romney36%
Barack Obama34%
Someone else19%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion11%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Mitt Romney4%18%65%
Barack Obama82%23%3%
Someone else7%33%24%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%26%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Mitt Romney71%50%68%
Barack Obama2%8%2%
Someone else23%21%25%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%20%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Mitt Romney4%8%1%
Barack Obama76%68%91%
Someone else13%12%3%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%12%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Mitt Romney4%16%59%
Barack Obama82%43%10%
Someone else9%17%23%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%24%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Mitt Romney46%65%64%
Barack Obama18%5%8%
Someone else21%27%21%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion16%3%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Mitt Romney4%2%6%
Barack Obama85%80%81%
Someone else6%12%9%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%6%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Mitt Romney3%67%12%
Barack Obama86%3%22%
Someone else5%26%59%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%5%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Race is calculated according to the RACE variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Mitt Romney45%0%26%
Barack Obama25%88%35%
Someone else20%3%21%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%9%19%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Mitt Romney43%29%
Barack Obama34%34%
Someone else17%21%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Mitt Romney24%37%48%
Barack Obama47%34%20%
Someone else16%19%20%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion13%10%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
Mitt Romney37%31%37%31%40%
Barack Obama37%40%30%44%25%
Someone else18%19%18%15%20%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%10%15%10%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Mitt Romney32%36%32%41%39%35%
Barack Obama34%30%40%25%37%49%
Someone else4%21%16%27%17%9%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion29%13%12%8%7%8%

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