Choice of Party for U.S. Senator (October 2011)

Choice of Party for U.S. Senator (October 2011)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.

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categorycolumn-1
Republican candidate47%
Democratic candidate30%
Someone else4%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion18%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Republican candidate4%23%86%
Democratic candidate78%10%1%
Someone else2%20%1%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion16%47%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Republican candidate82%68%95%
Democratic candidate1%4%0%
Someone else2%3%0%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion14%25%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Republican candidate10%6%0%
Democratic candidate58%63%93%
Someone else5%5%0%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion26%25%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Republican candidate4%20%79%
Democratic candidate79%36%6%
Someone else5%7%3%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion12%37%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Republican candidate65%88%80%
Democratic candidate14%2%4%
Someone else5%1%3%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion16%9%13%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Republican candidate2%2%9%
Democratic candidate79%75%87%
Someone else6%6%1%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion14%17%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Republican candidate0%100%0%
Democratic candidate100%0%0%
Someone else0%0%100%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Race is calculated according to the RACE variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Republican candidate56%10%37%
Democratic candidate23%67%37%
Someone else4%0%6%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion17%23%21%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Republican candidate56%39%
Democratic candidate30%31%
Someone else4%5%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%25%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Republican candidate40%45%58%
Democratic candidate38%32%19%
Someone else4%6%3%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion19%17%21%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Republican candidate32%53%39%60%43%41%
Democratic candidate15%24%37%23%36%46%
Someone else0%4%5%4%6%6%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion53%19%19%12%16%8%

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